The chairwoman of
the US Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen, said today (the 20th
September) that the US Federal Reserve would shrink its balance sheet
to reduce its asset holdings. It will speed up the rate of the global
ending quantitative easing, followed by the plan to end the
quantitative easing revealed by the president of the European Central
Bank, Mario Draghi.
Of course, to end
the quantitative easing programs cannot be done within a few months,
it will takes several years, especially when multi-trillion dollars
worth assets are currently held by the US Federal Reserve. Similarly,
the European Central Bank also needs several years to end its
quantitative easing program.
During the next
several years, the central banks in many major economies tend to cut
their asset holdings and raise their base rates. Today’s Fed’s
announcement rallies the US dollar to appreciate, this means the
Forex market expects that the end of the quantitative easing program
will bring down the inflationary pressure, which helps to appreciate
the exchange rate. In addition, the rally of the US dollar may show
that the financial sector still holds confidence about the US economy
after the end of the quantitative easing program.
In addition, many of
other countries which are still having expansionary monetary policies
may also follow the paths of the European Central Bank and the US
Federal Reserve to start cur their expansionary monetary policies.
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