Tesla is the most shorted US stock of the past decade in dollar
terms, while Alibaba probably is the most shorted stock in the history of the
stock market. The biggest US shorts are surprisingly all large and popular
companies. According to Markit, the top ten shorted US companies are Tesla
($13bn), Apple (over $8bn), Amazon (over $7bn), Netflix (over $5bn), Microsoft
(around $5bn), Facebook (around $5bn), Microchip Technology (just under $5bn),
Intel (over $4bn), Visa (around $4bn) and Walt Disney (over $3bn). Besides
Apple, the first trillion-dollar stock, Faangs are all listed in this top-ten
list, except Google; Visa has been a popular stock for many investors including
institutional investors. It seems that the most popular stocks are also the least
popular stocks in the market. Why does this happen? There are several
explanations for this.
Firstly, these famous companies generally have very high market
values, so a small proportion of the shares can be valued higher than a similar
proportion of a cheaper stock. Secondly, the attention affect does not attract
the short side, but also attract the short side. Thirdly, since these popular
stocks are generally evaluated biased towards the positive side, the valuations
of the stocks are more likely to be biased towards the upper boundary of the
valuations. This creates an opportunity for the short side, as the potential
gains are greater than the potential losses. Fourthly, people tend to believe
after a peak, a company will decline. These companies are very massive, leading
to people believe they are at their peak; therefore, some investors think their
growth story has ended and they are more likely to enter a decline period (like
General Motor), thus shorting these massive companies.
To conclude, we should not be surprised to see that the most popular
stocks are also the least popular ones.
No comments:
Post a Comment