Brexit extension

May has been seeking for a short extension for Brexit. May does not want a long extension because a long extension will face that the UK has to hold the European parliamentary election, which is expected to be held between 23rd and 26th May; after having a new parliament after the election, it can mean that the EU that May has been dealing with for so long is different, what the EU wants for the deal can change and the effectiveness of the efforts she has put will be limited. In addition, May also wants to end this Brexit chaos as soon as possible and show the UK population about her leadership and capability in leading the UK out of the Brexit mud. She is trying to seek support from the Labour party to draft a deal that she can negotiate with the EU. However, so far this does not seem to work. Although the Conservative Brexit secretary says that the deal is completely open for discussion, the comment from the shadow secretary from the Labour party shows the cooperation between these two parties does not work very well.

The opinion about whether or not to give Britain an extension for Brexit within the European Union is divisive. The French president Macron said "the time for decision is now" while German Chancellor Merkel called for leaders to have more patience and avoid a chaotic Brexit. If the EU does not allow an extension, it means the probability of a no deal Brexit is very high, because within such a short period, it is unlikely for both sides to produce a valid deal, especially for the UK, the UK parliament does not seem capable of passing any Brexit deal within such a short period. On the other hand, even if the EU allows an extension, how much can this extension change the Brexit fortune? I personally do not see there is anything critical that can be changed by the extension, because as I said before, the Parliament seems to dislike all potential deals while disliking a no deal Brexit.

Overall, I personally do not hold any optimistic view on Brexit.