This year's G20
summit has changed the global political and economic environment, especially
the tension between China and the US has been havened. China purchased American
soybeans ahead the G20 summit; after the US president, Donald Trump, met with
the Chinese president, Trump seemed to soften his stance towards the Huawei ban
and the two countries will resume the trade talk after the G20 summit. The gold
price sinks, showing the market becomes more positive and optimistic about the
global economy due to the eased trade tension.
Some hawks in the US
are unhappy about Trump's shift on the Huawei ban; for example, Senator Marco
Rubio tweeted "If President Trump has agreed to reverse recent sanctions
against #Huawei he has made a catastrophic mistake". However, Trump's shift
is a piece of very good news to the US tech companies. It means that chip
makers can export their chips to Huawei; though some have found a way to get
around the ban, this will still reduce the costs of exporting their chips.
Google should also be very happy about Trump's shift. Without the ban, Huawei
is highly likely to continue using Android as its smartphones' operating
system, at least in its oversea market (in the Chinese market, Huawei may
switch to using its own OS, and other Chinese smartphone makers are also likely
to use this OS in their smartphones in the Chinese market).
Donald Trump only
said that the US companies could continue selling to Huawei, it does not mean
the US completely lifts the ban, Huawei will remain on the blacklist.
Furthermore, I think that Huawei is highly likely to be excluded from the US 5G
plan and the US will continue to see Huawei as a national security threat.
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