Tuesday 27 September 2016

How bad is the idea of President Trump?

On the 26th of September, this Monday, people's attention has been drawn towards the first US presidential debate that people around the world consider the damaging impacts that may be caused to the world politics if Trump is elected, Martin Wolf even writes an article with the tile of "How the west might soon be lost"on the Financial Times (https://www.ft.com/content/804537f6-83d2-11e6-8897-2359a58ac7a5). Some people even start to compare the election of Adolf Hilter and this US election. I think that even if Trump is elected, there is a possibility of having a US president who does nothing beneficial or harm to the US as well as the rest of the world.

Firstly, when we compare Donald Trump's and Hillary Clinton's plans, Hillary Clinton has very detailed plans for domestic policies and foreign policies, but as some media claims, she does not give us a big blueprint of the US future; on the other hand, Donald Trump's slogan of "Make America Great Again" is his big blueprint of the American future, but as usual, he does not have detailed plans, though he claims they are secrets, I and many of others deeply doubt if he really has a plan. Therefore, we can assume Trump does not have a plan if he is elected.

Then when he is elected this November, which is possible, and he becomes the next US president with no detailed plans. What will he do as the US president? He does not have a lot of experience and may not even know how to exercise his power as the US president; therefore, he is forced into a position that he has to ask for help from others. His running partner is very conservative, which means he is not going to get very dangerous advice from his Vice President. He is unlikely to get any useful advice from the Democrats, so he will be dependent on the advice from the Republican party.

Now think from other Republican politicians' prospects, are they willing to give very useful advice to Donald Trump? I don't think so. Once Donald Trump was firstly pointed as the Republican nominee, he did not receive immediate support from the Republican party, which shows he is not the best option for some Republican politicians and these politicians will not endorse Trump and give him full support. In addition, what many Republican politicians consider more about is the election in four years. If they want to have their chances in the next election, they do not give Trump enough advice to make him seem successful, otherwise they will eliminate their chances to be elected in the next election. Therefore, Donald Trump is very likely to have his under-average four-year presidential term if he follows the advice given to him by his Republican colleagues.

Is Trump willing to follow the advice given to him? I don't think he has an option. From his speech, he has little political experience and faces a very complicated global political environment. People worry about his presidency because he changes his mind so often, which shows he may not know what exactly he wants to do. In this case, he is very likely to follow the advice given to him. And the Republican party will just provide enough advice to protect the nation and the party from falling apart.

Therefore, I think the presidency of Trump if he is elected will heavily depend on the support from the Republican party while the Republican party I think will not cooperate fully and give him full support. It is very likely to have no big change to the US economy and politics if Trump is elected, as the Republican party is not willing to see any good or bad change in the US.

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