Artificial intelligence has
been under the spotlight of today's World Economic Forum in Davos, the heads of
many technology companies are anxious to show the world their responsibility
and sympathy as they fear that their companies' inventions will be blamed and
criticized by the public once their machines are starting to replace labors'
jobs. Moreover, they also agree on setting out principles for artificial
intelligence. However, I still think that artificial intelligence will
eventually take over many of our jobs in the future and the criticism will be
unavoidable.
The meaning of the
invention of AlphaGo is not that machines can beat humans in a brain game,
instead it means a lot more. AlphaGo can learn from repeated matches, this
means artificial intelligence can learn from experience; therefore, labors
cannot no longer use their ability of learning from experience to gain more productivity
as a comparative advantage to artificial intelligence. Moreover, once
artificial intelligence can learn from experience, it could lower the frequency
of necessary updates of artificial intelligence, so the cost of investing in
artificial intelligence as a factor of production can be reduced sharply. If
the cost of hiring artificial intelligence is significantly lower than hiring
human labors, companies will definitely prefer hiring artificial intelligence.
Is such case impossible in the future? I think the answer is quite the opposite
that the cost of hiring artificial intelligence in large scale companies is
extremely likely to be lower than the cost of hiring human labors. Once
artificial intelligence is starting to replace human labors, the society will
definitely start to blame these technology companies. Governments cannot
enforce companies to stop such process, as they may force the companies out of
their countries and lose tax incomes. Therefore, in order to regain the social
stability, governments need to increase welfare benefits for the whole
population.
There are some skills that
artificial intelligence has not had yet and I cannot be certain that artificial
intelligence will not gain these skills in the future. One is innovation and
invention. Artificial intelligence cannot develop in something irrelevant from
its originally designing purpose. Another is aesthetic and designing. Although
in an art museum in Dublin, machines are used in drawing, designed by Patrick
Tresset. However, it can only accord its designer’s aesthetic; as the fashion
is changing all the time, artificial intelligence cannot always design work
that matches the fashion. There are other skills that the current artificial
intelligence does not have.
In general, in the future I
expect that artificial intelligence and machines will further take many jobs
away from humans and this could cause an instability and a wider wealth gap in
the society that force the government lift up the welfare benefits.
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