The Chinese stock
market seems to enter bear market territory as the benchmark Shanghai Composite
index was 20% lower than its peak in January after Tuesday's market close.
Meanwhile, the Chinese currency, Renminbi, depreciates beyond the lowest level
against dollar since last December. However, although the market seems against
the Chinese economy, the Chinese economy is actually performing well that
profits at China's large industrial companies jumped over 20%. According to the
National Bureau of Statistics, Chinese industrial profits rose 21.1% year on
year in May. Profits of ferrous metals producers rose 44.6%. The performances
of the Chinese stock market and the Chinese economy are contradicting against
each other. It shows the sign of lack of the global financial market's
confidence in the Chinese economy, which is also implied by the weakening
Chinese currency.
The problem here is
that the global financial market has some different views on the Chinese
economy and such disagreement becomes even stronger since the US president
Trump declared a trade war on China. Then there is a possibility of existing
overreaction or mis-estimation (mis-calculation) over here, providing a good
opportunity for speculators.
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