Energy and
the economy
The energy
is such a necessity in the modern life and generates our civilization to move
forward. Therefore, people usually tight the energy price with the expected
future economic performance. This is very reasonable; however, I think it has
been overdone.
The world crude
oil price has a close relationship with the economic expected growth. Usually
they are interacted, as the oil price generally moves in a similar direct with
the world economic growth, and the oil shocks could lead to the economic shock
in world wide. Crude oil is a key raw material in modern manufacturing and a
key energy supply as well. It has a very key feature that allows itself to beat
other types of energy, its efficiency. It is more efficiency than coal, or charcoal.
Nuclear power may be more efficient than petrol, the unsafety of nuclear power
has been feared by the most of the society. Such features give crude oil its
unique position in the energy field and the oil industry dominates all other
energy industries.
However,
crude oil has not been very generous to our humans that it has very strong
geographical bias. Some areas have very rich crude oil resources; but some do
not. Therefore, crude oil is not supplied to meet the necessary need but for
profits. Nothing is really made to meet the need. However, crude oil is a
relatively more extreme and crucial case. It has already become something that
is required by almost all parts of the society that all parties compete with
each other in order to have more consumption of it. When no party is willing to
give up its demand, the supply becomes very powerful especially the supply side
is very limited and controlled by much fewer parties. Therefore, the demander
in the oil market is basically the general economy but the supply is very
restricted and limited.
Both the demand
and supply of the oil market could be manipulated and are very likely to be
influenced by the global political environment. Thus the market becomes
extremely complicated that more parties involves, more uncertainty will be
raised.
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