Yesterday
I wrote about when the link between labour market and inflation would
become weaker, today I want to talk about more about how to break the
link between labour and output. Technology will play a critical role
in breaking the link between labour and output. For example, although
Elon Musk backed down his idea of complete automatic factory, Tesla’s
factory has given us a picture that how human labours will be
replaced by robots completely. In addition, on the same day of Amazon
announcing its plan to raise minimum wages for its US and UK workers,
Amazon opened its store without no humans staff, which was an irony.
When AI technology becomes more developed and mature, it will be more
common to see that robots replace human labours in a much wider
scale. However, technology may not be the only way to break the link
between labour and output.
The
structure of an economy would also determine the significance of the
link between labour and output. Some industries have relatively
weaker link between labour and output and in some industries, it is
hard to identity the productivity. For example, it is very hard to
identify for a government officer’s productivity, a judge does not
produce economic outputs, but his or her role is very important to
maintain the market order for supporting a healthy economy.
Therefore, if an economy has lots of government officers, the link
between labour and output is more likely to be weak. In addition, the
structure of the labour market will also influence the link between
labour and output. If an economy has a group of labours who are
highly skilled and produce the majority of the total outputs, and a
larger group labours who are not skilled and produce an insignificant
amount of outputs, then the unskilled labours will be the ones who
are at the risk of losing their jobs and the skilled labours have
their jobs completely secured; under such condition, when fewer
labours are employed, as long as the highly skilled labours remain
employed, the total outputs will not be affected.
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