Tuesday, 11 December 2018

May's strategy in her Brexit act



There is an article on Financial Times written by George Parker and Laura Hughes pointing out that the Prime Minister "May plays a game of chicken with her Brexit critics" (https://www.ft.com/content/c14c8f1c-fd63-11e8-ac00-57a2a826423e). May is facing opposition from both wings of her own party. It seems that no one likes May's proposed Brexit Act; however, no one likes chaos either and the current UK politics is chaos. Either May or her opponents has to stop battling for their own ideology at one point before the deadline set by the European Union, which is a classical case of chicken game.

May delayed the vote on her deal on Monday and the leader of Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn, accused May of "demeaning her office" by her delaying the vote. May is definitely trying to buy her more time to win more support within and outside her Tory party; it is not entirely impossible for her to win more support within the Parliament, that some MPs may be scared of a "no-deal Brexit" and choose to support May and her Brexit Act. Of course, some MPs are likely to stand firmly on their own bases and try to force May to compromise (which is highly unlikely because even if May wants to compromise, the European Union will not accept to give more to Britain on the matter of Brexit as the EU needs to show other member countries that there is a cost to exit the Union).

Overall, I do not expect May's proposed Brexit act will change a lot in terms of its content because any content that can further favour Britain will be beyond the European Union's acceptance. The best strategy for the UK at the moment seems to use May's proposed act which is probably the best deal Britain can get from the European Union; however, if no one compromises, a no-deal Brexit will inevitably occur.

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