Tuesday 4 December 2018

What a mess

Yesterday I talked about the US-China agreement on relieving the trade tension between these two countries; however, today it is found that the trade deal between the US and China is a misleading message sent by the US President Trump. The American politics has been a mess since Trump took the office. The potential impeachment now just seems much more likely after Trump’s former lawyer Micheal Cohen’s plea and review of Trump’s business plan in Russia during Trump was running for the office. The misleading message sent by Trump just shows the mess in his administration. When G. W Bush passed away and people compare him with Trump, many American people realise what a great president they used to have. The Democratic Party will control the House starting from the next year and many Democratic politicians are ready to impeach Trump; however, is it really a wise idea to impeach Trump merely two years before the next presidential election.

To impeach a president is never an easy thing to do; and even with the evidence the Democratic Party has from the Muller’s investigation, it is entirely certain for the Democratic Party to successfully impeach the president, because the Republican party still controls the Senate. In addition, the question that if a president can pardon himself or herself will cause a constitutional crisis, especially I do not think that Trump is afraid of pardoning himself. In addition, the effort that people have to put is enormous. People do not have unconstrained capacity, so if all politicians focus their attention on impeaching the president or protecting the president, and the president and his administration are focusing on saving himself, then I do not think that any other thing could be done under such chaotic and hostile political environment. This could potentially go either way. It could be good for the economy since the government leaves the market alone, or this could make the market panic and cause the bubble bursts at a much earlier stage.

Overall, the political chao in Washington leads to more and more uncertainty in the future to the American economy as well as the world economy. 

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