The Chinese stock
market has been rising over the latest month, due to the positive news
surrounding the US-China trade negotiation. However, the investors are not only
optimistic about the Chinese stock market at the moment, some international
investors have also been interested in the Chinese stock market for a
relatively long period of time. There has been a nearly $17bn inflow via the
stock connect corridor with the HK since the launch of the programme in
November 2014.
There
is an interesting article on FT (https://www.ft.com/content/d008122c-3e56-11e9-b896-fe36ec32aece) written by Fabiana Fedeli (global head of
fundamental equities and portfolio manager of emerging market equities at
Robeco) explaining why overseas investors are
optimistic about the Chinese stock market. Fedeli gives her explanatins in her article. First, the opinions about the Chinese stock market
future performance are very divisive. Secondly, foreign investors see the
Chinese stock market from a global aspect while many Chinese investors see the
Chinese stock market in a vacuum. Foreign investors compare the Chinese stock
market performance with the world stock market performance, especially the MSCI
World Index, and underperformance may imply undervaluation. Thirdly , when
people expect the US economy to cool off, it could boost investors' demand for
emerging markets.
I agree
with her explanation; however, I have some extra points. The Chinese economy is
the world second largest economy, so its stock market cannot be ignored. All
global investment portfolios should have some proportion of Chinese assets,
they can have negative views about the Chinese stock market and merely do this
for risk pooling. Furthermore, $17bn inflow is not a significant number when we
compare the investment inflow in the US stock market. Increasing inflows do not
necessarily mean that the foreign investors hold different opinions in general.
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