To be honest, I still think that if only choosing from Bitcoin and
Bitcoin cash, Bitcoin is more likely to dominate the future
cybercurrency world, as Bitcoin has already had a relatively wide
base of users and Bitcoin cash just appears. However, in the future,
there might be a new and better-designed cybercurrency that are more
likely to dominate the future cybercurrency world.
I always feel that there is one major issue in the designs of current
existing cybercurrencies that the total amounts of existing
cybercurrencies are designed to be fixed and the creation of
cybercurrencies is based on the concept of mining, which I believe is
outdated for the current and future world economic world. The reason
for using precious gold as currency being outdated and unpopular is
not because they are not easy to be carried around (as the Gold
standard could be a perfect solution for this problem), instead the
major reason is that the gold standard is not flexible enough to cope
the rapid economic growth. Although the world economy have been
growing significantly since the Industrial Revolution, the most
significant and rapid economic growth occured after the Second World
War, and this was the era when the gold standard collapsed in a world
scale. This is because a monetary system with fixed supply cannot
effectively encourage more consumption. When the production in the
economy grows faster than the new money supply in the economy, the
economy will face a deflation, at least a nominal deflation. Bitcoin
and Bitcoin cash both face such issue that though Bitcoin cash
increases its total supply is there a cap on the total potential
supply of Bitcoin cash.
From the reality, it is clear that even Bitcoin holders do not have
incentives to spend their Bitcoin on their consumption. Ten years
ago, the value of one Bitcoin could pay a nice dinner in a fair
restaurant, of course, no restaurant would let you pay by Bitcoin;
however, nowadays, the value of one Bitcoin increases sharply and is
able to afford a car. As a Bitcoin holder, when you see that the
currency you are holding is likely to equal to tens of thousands of
times today’s consumption power in the future, you will not use the
currency to spend on any thing, as no single investment is better
than holding the “cash”. Once holding cash is the best option,
the currency will not be spent in the economy, a currency that no one
uses for consumption is not a currency by the definition of money,
and it will eventually lose its position as a type of currency.
Therefore, the ideal design of a cybercurrency in my opinion is the
supply of the cybercurrency is dependent of the real world economic
performance.
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