Friday, 25 January 2019

Is the fight going on?

On Friday, the US President, Donald Trump, announced an agreement to end the longest government shutdown in American history. He agrees to sign a funding package that allows the government to temporarily reopen for three weeks and excludes the funding for his wall. At this moment, the market and many US federal workers should have a big relief from the longest government shutdown. However, this package only allows the government to reopen for three weeks, so how likely is the government shutdown to reappear in three weeks?
Donald Trump is a not predictable person; therefore, no one is possible to say that Trump will end the shutdown forever or he will restart the shutdown at this moment or even in three weeks from now. What we can be sure about is that Trump is definitely going to continue to fight against the House and the Democratic Party, this is what he has been doing since day one. The wall is only one of many battlefields where Trump is fighting against the Democratic party; however, this one is a very important one that the Wall is claimed by Trump and his team as one of his many campaign promises. The GOP is not necessarily backing Trump in this matter, as we saw from the voting of two bills which were separately proposed by Trump and the Democratic party, though both bills were rejected, the bill proposed by the Democratic party gained more votes. The government shutdown has brought some negative impacts on the American society, including airlines delays. If the government shut down again in three weeks, the supporting rate for the GOP is likely to drop since Trump himself first claimed that he would take full responsibility for the shutdown, if this theory is true, the GOP will pressure Trump to keep the government open after the three weeks. However, if Trump and his team believe after reopening the government they can get rid of Trump's responsibility for shutting the government down and blame the Democratic party, then the probability of another government shutdown in three weeks is significantly high.
Overall, with this president, no one is certain about what will happen to the US government in three weeks.

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