In economics,
especially in macroeconomics, there is one important concept that
individuals tend to smooth their consumptions over time. This concept
suggests that individuals tend to consume above their incomes when their
incomes temporarily fall below the average income levels and consume
below their incomes when their incomes temporarily increase above their
average income levels. However, this may be too idealistic in the real
world and the consumption habit in the real world may have a different
pattern.
Firstly,
individuals can save when their incomes are high, but they are unable
to borrow when their incomes are low. Usually individuals have lower
incomes at their early stages of their career but they cannot borrow
enough for consume more when they expect their incomes are going to
rise, because the financial institutions do not believe their incomes
can pay back their loans. Therefore, due to the borrowing constraint,
individuals cannot smooth their consumptions when their incomes are low,
even though they believe their incomes will rise and afford loan paybacks. Secondly, individuals want to increase their consumption over time. Individuals
feel better only when their consumption increases. This will lead
people to increasing their consumptions along with their incomes
increase to receive more satisfaction. Thirdly, individuals do not necessarily have right expectations about their future incomes. When the individuals do not have correct expectations about their futures, they are likely to have
more volatile consumption over time. Moreover, some may involve in the
financial market, and this adds more volatility to individuals' incomes
as well as their consumption.
Because
of these reasons and many others, individuals may make their
consumption decisions based on their current incomes and foreseeable
very near future income changes. Under such circumstance, individuals' consumption is tightly related to the economic performance, and this will violate the concept of consumption smoothing.
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