When it becomes clearer that the EU will not allow the UK to
seek special access to the single market for its banking industry, the Treasury
and the Bank of England are divided over the issue surrounding the City. The
Treasury seems willing to give up some of the regulatory power over the City in
order to seek for the access to the single market for the banking sector, while
the Bank of England seems unwilling to give up its regulatory autonomy. Here
comes a question which state will benefit the City more.
For the City, it is its best interest to gain the access to
the European single market and it does not care too much about who will become
its regulator in the future, as regulation happens anyway. Therefore, the City
will support the Treasury to gain its access to Europe. However, if the UK
loses its regulatory power over the City, then the City literally becomes part
of the European market, and probably the European Central Bank becomes the new
regulator. For the Bank of England, this will largely weaken its ability of stabilizing
the UK economy over the long term, though it is hard to say whether the Bank of
England or the European Central Bank is better at stabilizing the economy and
regulating the financial industry. However, for the UK economy itself, it becomes
harder to be stabilized when the ECB takes over the role of the BoE as the UK
banking sector regulator, as the ECB has to consider the entire European
banking industry rather than just the City, the regulations under the ECB are much
less specifically targeted for the City.
To conclude, my opinion is that the City will welcome the
Treasury’s plan as it gives a greater chance to gain the access to the European
single market, but its plan is likely to affect the stabilization of the UK
economy over the long term as it loses the regulatory autonomy over the banking
sector.
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