Monday 15 February 2016

Monetary union is not enough, to speed up recovery, some form of fiscal union seems necessary

https://next.ft.com/content/0c9acf2e-d189-11e5-92a1-c5e23ef99c77 Four signs another eurozone financial crisis is looming


Two articles from Financial Times tell different stories of the Eurozone. In East Europe, since 2014, the Eastern European economy has been picking up . Bulgaria was the weakest , with a year-on-year rise in GDP of 3.1% in the last quarter of 2015, while Slovakia the strongest at 4.2%. Moreover, these economies enjoy a period of high growth but low inflation, as they benefit from the slump of oil prices. While another article suggests the Eurozone is near another financial crisis. The whole eurozone faces the same external risks and shocks and is influenced by the ECB's policies. Some economies are doing better than others because they have different economic structures, in other words, their income sources are different. Similar situations happen within a country as well, as some parts of a countries can be richer than other parts. However, because of the central government power, the central government can redistribute wealth across regions. Such case does not happen in the Eurozone. Only monetary union is too weak, some sort of fiscal union may be necessary to gather sufficient resources to restructure the economies which are in bad shape. However, currently, austerity limits the speed of Greece and other countries to build healthy economies. To conclude, with only help from some financial institutions and the ECB, the speed of recovering the eurozone economy is limited and may be too slow to avoid another crisis.

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