10-year
Japanese government bond yield fell below zero; moreover, currently many
10-year government bond yields are close to zero, including the US and UK
government bonds. Very low government bond yields could improve government
financing itself, as the cost of borrowing becomes cheaper. Therefore, a government could increase its expenditure by taking advantage of negative
government bond yields and borrowing more. When more cash is flowing into the
economy, there is a higher probability that the inflation rate will be
increased. However, very low government bond yield could have negative impacts
on the market, as it is a signal of the economic performance. Low government
bond yields signal high risks in the economy as well as the financial markets,
which could prevent people from further investment. Moreover, the change in
yields is usually a market's move. This means when the yield is very low, the
economy is definitely in bad shape. The government cannot directly influence
the yields except by borrowing more, as the interest rates will not be increased
by the central bank when there is a recession. Therefore, the impact on the
inflation rate will depend on how much more money the government raises for its
expenditure and how much less money has been withdrawn from investment and
consumption sectors due to the signals sent by low government yield.
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