Due to
the sharp fall of oil prices last year, many companies and countries have
consumed more oil than they actually need. Because their belief that the
current oil price is abnormal, they have been over-consuming oil and storing
for their future once the oil price increases again. Such behavior will longer
the length of low oil price. Once the oil prices rise again, the demand for oil
will drop sharply. If the revenues of oil sales fall, many oil exporting
countries may reconsider to reduce the oil prices again in order to boost the
volume of oil sales. Therefore, I think even after the oil exporting countries
agree to cut their outputs, the situation of low oil prices may last longer.
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